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Division III.5 (Season 21)
 
pichipichi
Posts: 237
Joined: 2010-10-11
II.2
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Posted on 2016-04-22 16:44:00
My last four games of the season are against Panda, Crowns, Knights and Sharks. I need at least one victory, but no idea how I'm going to win.
  
paulo187
Posts: 4937
Posted on 2016-04-22 17:15:09
pichipichi wrote:

My last four games of the season are against Panda, Crowns, Knights and Sharks. I need at least one victory, but no idea how I'm going to win.



Pioneers also have to play the Sharks and Pandas, as well as the Pros in 3 of their last 4 games (with their 4th being an obvious win against the Pigeons), so they would have to beat 2 of those initial 3 just to draw level with you (and that's assuming you do lose your last 4). Personally, I don't think you have anything to worry about, even sitting at 7 wins as the most the Pioneers are likely to get is 6, but most likely 5.
  
Hard-core fan (ultimate supporter owner)ChristyGI Supporter
Posts: 2368
Joined: 2013-12-16
III.6
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Posted on 2016-04-22 17:21:55
paulo187 wrote:

pichipichi wrote:

My last four games of the season are against Panda, Crowns, Knights and Sharks. I need at least one victory, but no idea how I'm going to win.



Pioneers also have to play the Sharks and Pandas, as well as the Pros in 3 of their last 4 games (with their 4th being an obvious win against the Pigeons), so they would have to beat 2 of those initial 3 just to draw level with you (and that's assuming you do lose your last 4). Personally, I don't think you have anything to worry about, even sitting at 7 wins as the most the Pioneers are likely to get is 6, but most likely 5.



Plus the Pioneers have a much worse points difference so they need to win 3 pretty convincingly to catch up (your defense makes it unlikely you will lose by much even if you are unlucky). Remember the Pandas won't be the team they were a few weeks ago (see my match against them).
  

"In archery we have something like the way of the superior man. When the archer misses the center of the target, he turns round and seeks for the cause of his failure in himself.”— Confucius

Hard-core fan (ultimate supporter owner)acooper1004GI Supporter
Posts: 485
Joined: 2010-11-10
I.1
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Posted on 2016-04-22 21:29:30
Christy wrote:

paulo187 wrote:

pichipichi wrote:

My last four games of the season are against Panda, Crowns, Knights and Sharks. I need at least one victory, but no idea how I'm going to win.



Pioneers also have to play the Sharks and Pandas, as well as the Pros in 3 of their last 4 games (with their 4th being an obvious win against the Pigeons), so they would have to beat 2 of those initial 3 just to draw level with you (and that's assuming you do lose your last 4). Personally, I don't think you have anything to worry about, even sitting at 7 wins as the most the Pioneers are likely to get is 6, but most likely 5.



Plus the Pioneers have a much worse points difference so they need to win 3 pretty convincingly to catch up (your defense makes it unlikely you will lose by much even if you are unlucky). Remember the Pandas won't be the team they were a few weeks ago (see my match against them).



The pioneers are in full rebuild mode, with no QB atm, so will probably only win the one game

i think the bottom 3 are set in stone now

  
icthalian
Posts: 3437
Posted on 2016-04-22 23:18:27
Gladiator (P) v Traujin's Pros (6)
Commentary: An easy win for the Pros, even if the run out some of the BPOS boys.
Prediction: Pros by 35

Vikings Nantes (7) v Tyresö Royal Crowns (P)
Commentary: Should make for a very good game. The Crowns have shown big flashes of potential and Nantes have begun to consolidate from their recent rebuild. The performance of the Crowns offense will decide this one, and they should be too strong.
Prediction: Crowns by 10

Johnstown Pioneers (5) v Terrassa Red Sharks (R)
Commentary: TRS should all but confirm the Pioneers' relegation here.
Prediction: TRS by 42

Pandapocalypse (3) v Spain Bulls (2)
Commentary: Losing our starting LT and FS following the start of a mini-rebuild and on the back of a horrendous stretch should be enough to give our opponents the edge here.
Prediction: Bulls by 14

Inverglen Knights (4) v Manchester Pigeon (P)
Commentary: Will be interesting to see if the Knights still take the points or run out some youth for BPOS.
Prediction: Knights by 70 (or 35 if we see a BPOS squad)
  
pichipichi
Posts: 237
Joined: 2010-10-11
II.2
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Posted on 2016-04-23 12:31:50
Well, I hope that with seven wins is enough, or give me a hand Sharks today
  
Hard-core fan (ultimate supporter owner)acooper1004GI Supporter
Posts: 485
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Posted on 2016-04-23 13:00:41
pichipichi wrote:

Well, I hope that with seven wins is enough, or give me a hand Sharks today



all safe now, good win
  
pichipichi
Posts: 237
Joined: 2010-10-11
II.2
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Posted on 2016-04-23 14:23:33
Thanks, now preparing for the next season
  
Hard-core fan (ultimate supporter owner)acooper1004GI Supporter
Posts: 485
Joined: 2010-11-10
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Posted on 2016-04-23 15:03:33
pichipichi wrote:

Thanks, now preparing for the next season



you and me both, just wondering we're i can get a win next season
  
Hard-core fan (ultimate supporter owner)ChristyGI Supporter
Posts: 2368
Joined: 2013-12-16
III.6
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Posted on 2016-04-23 17:44:45
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1n8Lwmw6fPHweHmS7rygcmKyDdZsaESk1NfUfBVZYDvc/edit?usp=sharing

Few thoughts. One an offensive line can go to pieces with only a few players missing as shown by the Gladiators forcing Staten to spend a massive chunk of the match running. To be fair to Staten he only took a single sack in all those pressures and on plays when he did get to sit in the pocket he did well.

Pandas vs Bulls: While the Pandas aren't the force that they were they did show they still aren't to be underestimated. I was curious as to how the offense got so little production from Weissman's good stats. With a 61.1% completion rate the odds of him missing a given 3 passes in a row (and does requiring a punt) is 5.89% so how did the Pandas need 5 punts and a field goal? Well the odds of 2 out of 3 passes being missed and one made is 27.74% which could force a punt if the pass is <10 yards. I looked at the match and every time they had to punt or take the field goal Weissman made one pass in the 3 attempts. The issue was that he had so many <10 yards that the Pandas were still forced to bring on the punting team.

Pioneers vs Sharks. Pioneers put up a decent fight here but 6 sacks from the Sharks is one nice statement. Good job sacks can't cause injuries here.

Crowns vs. Nantes Crowns offensive line and defensive line stepped up a gear here. Be afraid if this trend keeps as that would make the Crowns near impossible to slow down.
  

"In archery we have something like the way of the superior man. When the archer misses the center of the target, he turns round and seeks for the cause of his failure in himself.”— Confucius

 
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